Of Horses, Heroes, and Opportunity

26 03 2010

Blessings have been bestowed upon us, racing fans.  Not only is the weekend finally here, and along with it a duo of prep races for the 2010 Kentucky Derby, but also another chance at capturing a sliver of relevance from amongst the general populace.  Take Back Saturday returns, at least in theory, thanks to NBC Sports’ “Road to the Kentucky Derby” broadcast, beginning at 5PM (ET) on the USA Network.  One of our most popular racing personalities, Jill Byrne, will be helping to host the activities, along with former jockey Gary Stevens, Mike Battaglia, and a host of other on-air talents.

Personally, I’m a huge fan of Jill’s, and consider her one of the most insightful analysts out there who is capable of bridging the gap between experienced horse racing fans and those who are only novice players (or even first time viewers).  In other words, EXACTLY the right person for the job.  She’s got the charm, the wit, and all the intangibles necessary for the kind of presentation we need.  If you’re out there Jill, here’s hoping you knock ‘em dead.

"I'd just like to say, we're all counting on you, good luck."

Several weeks ago, you may recall the unmitigated disaster that was the NTRA”s attempt to offer live video streaming of the 2010 debuts of the sports’ biggest stars; Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta.  But you know what?  Lost in the shuffle and all the boo-hooing bloggers like myself did in the immediate aftermath was the fact that the NTRA actually rose from the ashes of that disaster like a proverbial Phoenix and wound up delivering a presentation that, at least in my humble estimation, was a quality broadcast whilst covering the Grade 1 Florida Derby.

We need to build on this success, “and that right soon.”

This isn’t just about the NTRA, or NBC, or USA, or even TVG or HRTV.  It’s bigger than all of that.  All around the country, famous race tracks are closing up shop, horses with impeccable blood lines are winding up in “kill pens”, and countless hard working individuals who have tirelessly toiled, often for meager financial reward, just to put on the show so many of us love are losing their livelihoods.  In the midst of the “great recession”, we must find an opportunity, and then persevere through thick and thin to exploit that possibility to the fullest of advantages.

So here we stand, in a familiar place not unlike that which we found ourselves several weeks ago.  We stand upon the precipice.  Below us are the rocks upon which so many hopes, dreams, and good intents have been splattered to oblivion.  If, however, we can summon the courage to gaze our eyes into the glimmering spectacle of the day’s setting sun, we might see a valley that lies within reach filled with the fruits of our labors – one in which our children and grand children will be able to proudly participate in this game that has changed so many of our lives, and given us all enough memories to last a lifetime.

As such, I’m calling on racing fans the world over to step up to the plate this weekend and attempt to make a difference.  Sure, we can sit back and continue to attempt to rest on the laurels of our Andy Warhol-esque “2 minutes of fame” each Spring in the Kentucky Derby itself, but if we can give folks a reason to care even more, and ensure that when they do get that stirring inside of them, and that hunger for more marquee racing action, that we are available to them, then perhaps those famed 2 minutes on the first Saturday of each May can serve as a stepping stone towards a hint of national relevance, rather than a denouement.

Back in my brief collegiate days (like Jeffrey Lebowski, I seem to have spent my time “occupying various administrative buildings” rather than applying myself as I should have, such being the idiocy of youth), I spent some time as a “frat boy.” If any of you joined a Fraternity or a Sorority in college, you may remember the insane season known as “Rush” that happened each year.  Each “Greek” organization trying to scoop up as many fresh recruits as possible to help sustain the future of their clans.

My group had a little saying during those times: EMGAM – “Every Man Get a Man”,  no exceptions.   I’m counting on all of you to do something similar here.  Give it the old “college try” and take your best shot at sharing our little corner of the sports world with a new and prospective fan.

There’s power in numbers, and if each of us can bring one new person into the fold this weekend, we just might be able to convince the networks that regularly scheduled horse racing broadcasts are a viable niche market.

I’ve spent the better part of 2 years now railing on ad nauseum about “Take Back Saturday” - and now comes the point in time where I need you all.  Really it’s more than that.  It’s not just me who needs you all – we all need each other for this one.   You know the drill.  Together we stand, divided we fall.  It’s showtime, peeps.  Of course, I realize not everyone agrees this is such a good idea.

Now lets’ get on with the selections:

Grade 2 Louisiana Derby (Fair Grounds – Race 10) –  5:48 PM (ET)

I thought the Louisiana Derby came up a little quick on paper to anticipate DISCREETLY MINE being able to wire the field as easily as he did in the Grade 2 Risen Star.  Instead, I’m turning my attention to a trio of off-the-pace runners who could be moving well late, and each at a juicy price.

RON THE GREEK is a horse I’ve liked since the season began, although evidently I goofed and left him off the honorable mention list in last week’s Derby rankings.  That was a mistake, he belongs in the hunt, and a win this weekend would move him up closer to Ice Box as yet another closer capable of turning the tables on the speedy types that have thus far dominated the Derby trail.

Another interesting horse in this race is STAY PUT.  The son of Broken Vow could be forgotten a bit on the tote board, despite showing obvious signs of talent late last year and early this winter.  It’s ironic that he actually finished ahead of RON THE GREEK in the Risen Star, yet is listed at longer odds on the morning line.  I wouldn’t sell this guy short – he might wind up being a better horse than ‘Ron when all is said and done.  If nothing else, he’s got just a good a chance.

Lastly, I thought Nick Zito’s FLY DOWN might be a sneaky play here.  Apart from a bad start in his debut, this horse has done all he’s been asked to do, and he could get first jump at whatever pace RON THE GREEK and STAY PUT are closing into courtesy of DISCREETLY MINE.

Of course, if the front runner does get loose, the whole thing is academic.

Two other horses worth considering for the exotics would be DROSSELMEYER (who has to break from all the way out in the 13 hole), and A LITTLE WARM, who has some impressive speed figures but will be stretching out beyond a mile for the first time.

Selections:

  • #6 Ron the Greek (6/1)
  • #9 Stay Put (10/1)
  • #7 Discreetly Mine (7/2*)

Grade 2 Lane’s End (Turfway Park – Race 9) – 5:12 PM (ET)

The Grade 2 Lane’s End kicks things off for the day at Turfway Park and features a field of 10 runners travelling 9 furlongs over the main track, in search of much needed graded stakes earnings from the $500k purse that is up for grabs.  I thought this race looked a little too obvious on paper, with CONNEMARA coming up as the obvious selection.  Todd Pletcher has been having a sensational season with his bevy of 3-year-olds this year, and this appears to be a good spot for the son of Giant’s Causeway.  He’s the one to beat and should get a chance to renew his rivalry with the speedy RANGER HEARTLEY in the stretch.  These two have banged heads 3 times already, with CONNEMARA getting the best of RANGER HEARTLEY twice.

For those looking to catch a better price than CONNEMARA is sure to offer, consider using the other Giant’s Causeway colt in this race, NORTHERN GIANT.  The D.Wayne Lukas trainee was whipped by Discreetly Mine and others in the debut, but made up roughly 20 lengths against that rival last out in the Grade 2 Risen Star.  Yes, it took him six tries to break the maiden,  but he also ran into Stay Put along the way.  I thought his 3rd place finish in the Risen Star was a sign of talent, and this could be a guy improving at just the right time.

I must take a moment to pause and note that RANGER HEARTLEY is named in honor of a fallen hero, Staff Sgt. Jeffrey Hartley, who was killed in action when his vehicle encountered a roadside bomb in Khargulia, Iraq on 4/8/08 during Operation Iraqi Feedom.  I think it’s appropriate to share an image of the real Ranger Hartley, as I think the man should be remembered whenever the horse named in his honor is discussed.

Staff Sgt. Jeffrey L. Hartley - heroic namesake of the horse "Ranger Heartley"

Sue Dowling, credited with selecting the name, has done a great service to the memory of her nation’s fallen heroes.  I happen to concur with her assessment that names can be more than just trivial details.  If I hadn’t already told you this, Amy and I actually named our first born son after a fallen soldier as well for the same reasons –  to honor his memory, and in the hope that somehow our son might acquire some of those qualities that set his namesake apart as a man amongst men.

The hero we chose?  Delta Sgt. Randall Shughart, killed in action in Somalia in 1993.  What’s left of Randy Shughart, who along with Gary Gordon became the first posthumous Medal of Honor winners our nation had recognized since the Vietnam War, is buried not far from us in the cemetary at Carlisle, PA.  A picture of the gravesite that my parents took hangs on the wall in our house, as a reminder of the terrible price a chosen few are called to pay “that their nation might live.”

I’ve secretly held onto the notion for years that if I eve got a chance to name a thoroughbred, I’d likely name him “Shughart” in Randy’s honor.  Honestly, is it possible for those of us who have never had to shoulder a weapon or endure such horrors ever do enough to properly recognize those who have?  I think not – but I’m damn glad there men out there like Jeffrey Hartley and Randy Shughart who do so, and I’m damn proud to be able to call them countrymen.

For this reason, regardless of where my selections wind up – I’ll be rooting for RANGER HEARTLEY with everything I have.

“…Tho’ all the world betrays thee, one sword at least thy rights shall guard, one faithful harp shall praise thee.”

– The Minstrel Boy by Thomas Moore

Didn’t mean to dampen the mood – just thought that story had to be told.

Selections:

  • #1 Connemara (7/5*)
  • #7 Northern Giant (5/1)
  • #5 Ranger Heartley (6/1)

Best of luck to all of you.

If you get a chance, take a moment to stop over and say hello to our newest members of the TBA.

(and don’t forget – “EMGAM”, and say a little prayer for the family of the real Ranger Hartley and others who have suffered for us so that we can enjoy moments like the Triple Crown chase in relative peace and harmony)





Ron the Greek powers away with the Lecomte

24 01 2010

Heading into the gate for Saturday’s 66th running of the Lecomte (G3) at Fair Grounds, one of my favorite last second “tells” was on full display.  Watching through the track feed, the 3-year-old bay Ron the Greek calmly waited for his moment to load into the extreme outside post position.  He looked regal, stoic, and absolutely determined.  Minutes later we would learn just how determined he actually was.

The $100,000 purse for the Lecomte was thought to be Maximus Ruler’s for the taking.   As anticipated, he had been bet down to favoritism by post time from his 4/1 odds on the morning line.  Rather than settle comfortably into a pace pressing position as we had anticipated, the son of Roman Ruler instead wound up setting the early pace of :23.42 with longshot Depaul just off of him.

By the opening half mile call of :46.80, Ron the Greek was all the way at the back of the pack, as Maximus Ruler continued to lead the field into the far turn.

At the top of the stretch, it may have appeared to the untrained eye that the race was boiling down to Maximus Ruler and Cool Bullet, who had come up to challenge the leader from just off the pace.

Way in the back of the pack though, Ron the Greek had shaken loose and was powering down the center of the track.  The final sixteenth was all his, as he ran right past Maximus Ruler to hit the wire in 1:40.09.

Ron the Greek returned $17.60 for the win, with Maximus Ruler finishing 2nd and paying $4.40 to place.  Letsgetitonmon finished 3rd and returned $5.00 to show.

No definitive information has been announced yet that I’m aware of, but it’s probably a good guess that Ron the Greek will stick around locally at Gulfstream Park  and allow trainer Thomas Amoss to think about the Risen Star (2/20) and/or the Louisiana Derby (3/27).

For Maximus Ruler, while the defeat was tough, I doubt that we saw the bottom of this horse with this effort.  It will be interesting to see where trainer Clark Hanna points him after this race.  Will they want to continue to stretch him out, or do they feel he’s more effective going one turn?  Only time will tell.

For now though, hats off to Ron the Greek.  I’m not sure which performance was more impressive between his victory in the Lecomte and Winslow Homer’s victory in the Holy Bull (considering Winslow had to split horses at the top of the stretch – a move you like to see from an improving 3-year-old), but Ron was certainly the best score of the afternoon.

Congratulations to those who took a shot with him.  Obviously, despite thinking of him as a contender, I wasn’t one of those folks.  :)





Holy Bull and Lecomte a remedy for early Derby Fever

22 01 2010

Horse and Plowman at Houghton Farm by landscape artist Winslow Homer

While it’s true that the official Kentucky Derby prep season begins well before this weekend, the racing action on Saturday at Fair Grounds and Gulfstream Park promises to treat viewers suffering with post Eclipse Awards “Derby Fever” with perhaps their first true glimpse of what the future holds.

Grade 3 Holy Bull

The 21st running of the Holy Bull (G3) in Saturday’s 9th race at Gulfstream Park (5:08 ET) will be contested by nine 3-year-old colts going 1 mile over the main track. In 2006, the legendary Barbaro used the Holy Bull as a spring board to his eventual triumph in the Kentucky Derby.  The field for this year’s Holy Bull sets up like this:

  1. Thank U Philippe (E. Castro/M. Wolfson) 8/1
  2. Homeboykris (E. Prado/R. Dutrow Jr.) 5/1
  3. Litigation Risk (A. Garcia/R. Violette) 12/1
  4. Piscitelli (K. Desormeaux/R. Sacco) 6/1
  5. William’s Kitten (J. Leparoux/M. Maker) 8/1
  6. Winslow Homer (R. Dominguez/A. Dutrow) 6/1)
  7. Wild Lime (J. Lezcano/M. Trombetta) 20/1
  8. Aikenite (J. Velazquez/T. Pletcher) 4/1
  9. Jackson Bend (J. Rose/N. Zito) 5/2*

The field is headlined by Nick Zito’s star trainee, JACKSON BEND, who has won 5 consecutive races including 4 consecutive stakes.  If he can stalk and pounce from his outside post position and get a decent trip, he makes for a dangerous chalk to play against.

It’s early in the year though.  Who comes here to play chalk in the first big race of the year?  Several other horses in this race look very playable if their morning line odds hold.

I’ll start with WILLIAM’S KITTEN, a son of Kitten’s Joy that my good friend Tencentcielo was eager to see on Breeders’ Cup weekend.  We raced to the paddock for the Juvenile to get a glimpse of him prior to the race.  Sent off at stratospheric odds, he both made a stronger visual impression in the paddock and ran a better race than his running line suggests.  I think this guy’s a player in here, although I think his better days are further down the road.

HOMEBOYKRIS is an interesting Maryland Bred for infamous trainer Rick Dutrow Jr.  He looked like a legitimate Derby contender in the Champagne Stakes (G1) at Belmont late last fall, but then pressed the pace and gave way stretching out to 9 furlongs in the Remsen (G2) in November.  The cut back to 1 mile and the bullet workouts in December and January suggest he’s ready to move forward.

Ultimately, I’m going to think a bit outside the box for my first prep play of the year.  I like the looks of WINSLOW HOMER quite a bit in this spot.  He’s only raced 3 times, but if not for a neck defeat in his début, the son of Unbridled’s Song would be a perfect 3 for 3.  He’s still got room for improvement and ran big off a  2 month layoff back in November at Philly Park.  Ramon Dominguez has to be excited to get another shot aboard this guy.  If the odds of 6/1 hold, I think he makes a lot of sense.

Oh yeah, about that random painting at the top of this post – that’s “”Horse and Ploughman at Houghton Farm by landscape artist Winslow Homer.  Seemed fitting, given this selection. :)

Selections for the G3 Holy Bull:

  • #6 Winslow Homer (6/1)
  • #9 Jackson Bend (5/2*)
  • #2 Homeboykris (5/1)

I’d add Aikenite and William’s Kitten into the exotic plays, and you may want to take a look at the Moss family entry, Piscitelli as well.

Dime Superfecta: 6/2,5,8,9/2,4,5,8,9/ALL = $9.60

Grade 3 Lecomte

The 66th running of the Lecomte in Saturday’s 10th race at Fair Grounds (4:43 CT) features 11 3-year-olds in a two-turn event covering 1 mile & 40 yards over the main track.  The most notable Lecomte winner of recent history was eventual runner up in the 2007 Kentucky Derby, Hard Spun.  Ironically, Friesan Fire, winner of last year’s Lecomte, is racing in the Louisiana Handicap at Fair Grounds on Saturday.

The field for the 2010 LecComte sets up as follows:

  1. Maximus Ruler (F. Torres/H. Clark) 4/1
  2. Turf Melody (J. Valdivia/G. Motion) 7/2
  3. Worldly (R. Albarado/P. McGee) 5/1
  4. Depaul (S. Sellers/S. Asmussen) 20/1
  5. Citrus Kid (M. Mena/J. Terranova) 8/1
  6. Callide Valley (C. Lanerie/E. Kenneally) 10/1
  7. B’wanagoldmine (E. Martin Jr./D. Pish) 15/1
  8. Letsgetitonmon (S. Bridgmohan/S. Asmussen) 10/1
  9. Coll Bullet (B. Hernandez Jr./S. Margolis) 5/1
  10. Rock Hard (H. Theriot/B. Barnett) 30/1
  11. Ron the Greek (J. Graham/T. Amoss) 8/1

MAXIMUS RULER is the horse that I think will ultimately go off as the post time favorite in this one, and for good reason.  While the son of Roman Ruler has never been two turns before, he is accomplished at the one mile distance last out racing close to the pace.  He’ll likely need to be involved early on breaking from the rail, but would seem to have the tools to turn in a solid performance if he can settle down in 2nd or 3rd.  I think he’s the obvious choice, even if I suspect he’ll be bet down a bit.

TURF MELODY heads out for my main man Graham Motion.  The son of Maria’s Mon has pulled off back-to-back victories at the mile distance in his last two starts – a sign that bodes very well for his chances here.  The only thing that worries me slightly is that Valdivia must get used to him right away. Russel and Rose certainly have this guy figured out, so hopefully Jose Jr. can be a quick study.  This runner has a nice old-school foundation laid in his running lines.  Graham just might have him ready to move forward here in start #1 for 2010.

WORLDLY is an interesting runner in this field, having been defeated by Stay Put last out in the same track/distance conditions.  The son of A.P. Indy would seem to need an improved performance to find the winner’s circle today, but it’s certainly not out of the question as there does seem to be some talent under the hood.

I’d look for CITRUS KID a little later in the year as the Lemon Drops can take a little while to get rolling, although this one did win back to back starts at Delaware Park last fall.  The water is a bit deeper here today, so he’d need his best stuff.  I’m going to consider him more of an underneath play in the exotics.

COOL BULLET is a horse stretching out for the first time who should be a factor in the pace scenario.  DEPAUL and CITRUS KID could challenge for the lead early on, which could open things up for the off-the-pace types coming in from behind.

Lastly, RON THE GREEK looks a little interesting from the outside post.  The son of Full Mandate started off his career with back to back victories before being defeated by TURF MELODY last out.  He’s another that warrants strong consideration for an underneath spot on the exotic plays.

Selections for the G3 Lecomte:

  • #1 Maximus Ruler (4/1)
  • #2 Turf Melody (7/2*)
  • #3 Worldly (5/1)

I’ll give CITRUS KID, COOL BULLET, and RON THE GREEK strong consideration for the bottom positions of my Superfecta play.  CALLIDE VALLEY is a horse I haven’t mentioned yet that could be a player as well.  I don’t want to totally sleep on the Asmussen runners DEPAUL and LETSGETITONMON or B’WANAGOLDMINE, but you know the drill; can’t chose ‘em all.

Dime Superfecta:  1/2,3,5,9/2,3,5,9,11/2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,11 =$11.20

So that’s where I stand headed into the first big weekend of the 2010 Kentucky Derby prep season.  I’m all in on WINSLOW HOMER and MAXIMUS RULER.  My only question for all of you is “who you got?”








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