The cream rises to the top

13 06 2010

Following a turbulent spring in which the 3-year-old division never really sorted itself out the way many of us had hoped – this Saturday provided an opportunity to establish a firm sense of where things stood among the ranks of older females and males.

Defending Horse of the Year Rachel Alexandra had been the subject of intense scrutiny and conjecture – as friends and foes alike pondered what had happened to the killer instinct with which the daughter of Medaglia d’Oro had dispatched her challengers over the course of her previous campaign.

Struggling in the stretch against the likes of Zardana and Unrivaled Belle – who while good horses certainly did not appear to be “Rachel beaters” on paper headed into their contests with the champ – had left a foul taste in many folks mouths.  Tensions were running so high that there were calls for her to be retired – and even exercise jockey Dominic Terry wound up being replaced by Steve Asmussen following some sort of disagreement (Terry, it must be noted, was a fan favorite who routinely conversed over the internet with Rachel’s fans – so this author was sad to see him removed).

Then, of course, there was the looming specter of the “figure 8″ – the singular piece of equipment that had caused so much grief as it seemed that Asmussen was trying to alter the way in which Rachel Alexandra responded to the bit as well as when and where she would make her move while racing.

As noted by Sid Fernando – Rachel Alexandra did not wear the figure 8 when sent to post yesterday for the G2 Fleur de Lis.  The result, as may have been expected, was that the filly ran off the screen again, invoking memories of her victories last year in the Mother Goose, Haskell, and Kentucky Oaks.

While watching the race live, it may not have seemed such a foregone conclusion to her throngs of fans.  It looked for a moment like a repeat of what we had seen against Unrivaled Belle and Zardana.  Rachel collared Jessica is Back and moved to the front, but then Distinctive Dixie seemed poised to pounce on her.

It was then that something peculiar happened.  Rather than allow a “lesser” horse to surge past her as she had done both times this year, Rachel seemed to remember who she was, digging down deep to procure a semblance of that greatness.  She pulled away brilliantly in the stretch, and with a furlong to go the races was as good as over.

Full results chart from Equibase

The final margin put her at 10 1/2 lengths in front of Distinctive Dixie, crossing the wire in the 1 1/8 mile race in 1:48.78.   The distance and time are not insignificant as just 4 races later many of the top older males in the land would go the same route in the G1 Stephen Foster.

Comparing the two races directly is a bit difficult to do – as the Stephen Foster featured a full field of 11 runners who were quite comfortable setting  a much slower pace early on (:24.50 and :48.72 as opposed to the :23.93 and :47.25 of the Fleur de Lis).  Still, it’s noteworthy that when Blame stopped the clock after prevailing in the Stephen Foster, he did so almost half a second slower than Rachel at 1:49.37.

Take nothing away from Blame’s performance though.  He absolutely devoured the highly regarded Battle Plan in the stretch, overcoming a highly disadvantageous post position draw in the 11 hole in the process.

We noted headed into Preakness day that we thought Blame was a serious race horse who belonged in the discussion for the best older male in the handicap division – and this performance in the Stephen Foster clearly makes him a horse to keep an eye on as the season progresses towards the Breeders’ Cup championships this fall.

Of course these weren’t the only two horses making  strong appearances.  Thanks to imperfections of racing’s calendar you also had Rail Trip winning the G2 California Stakes at Hollywood Park.  Additionally, there was Life at Ten staging the upset over the aforementioned Unrivaled Belle in the Ogden Phipps at Belmont, and Miss Singhsix prevailing in the G3 Obeah Stakes at Delaware Park (a race that you would be excused for thinking may not have existed, considering the total lack of coverage it received).

As if all this action were not enough – there’s still the undefeated super mare Zenyatta today at Hollywood Park in the G1 Vanity!  That’s right – the Breeders’ Cup Classic winner and widely regarded greatest horse on the planet.  While it’s a bit odd to see such a horse running on a Sunday, I think it goes without saying that we’ll take our Zenyatta races any way we can get them.

Here’s hoping that advertising and marketing execs have been paying attention whenever the spine-tingling Breeders’ Cup commercials featuring Zenyatta’s ’09 Classic victory air – they are precisely what the sport needs!

Now, as ESPNs Jeremy Plonk has rightly pointed out – if only we could get all these horses together in a race (or two) – rather than spread out across the nation in races that tend to cannibalize the importance of each.

While I understand the criticism of the column linked to in the above statement – the one benefit of having so many races for the same division strung out across so many tracks on the same weekend may have been the reappearance of Rachel Alexandra.  That may have been exactly what she needed.

I still don’t think she’s ready to throw down with the likes of a Zenyatta – but it felt darn good to see her pull away in the stretch and “stick her tongue out” at the competition.

Now there’s only one thing left to do – get Zenyatta home on top in the Vanity to run that unbeaten streak to 17 for 17.





Curlin is unstoppable.

14 06 2008

Curlin destroys the competition in the G1 Stephen Foster at Churchill Downs on Saturday

 

Curlin. You cannot stop him.  You can only hope to contain him.

On Saturday at Churchill Downs, that’s exactly what a field of 9 competitors was hoping to do in the Grade 1 Stephen Foster Handicap.  Curlin’s connections had entered him into the Stephen Foster despite being assigned a daunting 128 pounds for the race  – 10 more pounds than the 2nd choice, Einstein, and as many as 15 pounds more than some of the other rivals. Adding even more intrigue was the fact that Curlin was breaking from the rail – a post position that did not seem to be his most comfortable. 

None of that mattered to the 4-year-old son of Smart Strike as the field turned for home.  Curlin kicked into high gear and blew away the competition, reaching the line a clear 4 1/4 lengths in front of Einstein and Barcola.  Curlin completed the 1 1/8 mile distance of the Stephen Foster in 1:49.68 after soft early fractions of 25.01 and 49.28 were set by pace setter Barcola.

Curlin was bumped by Delightful Kiss after breaking from the starting gate, but was able to settle into 4th in the early running while Barcola grabbed the early lead.  Eventually Sam P. came after Barcola, and as the field entered the far turn it appeared for a moment that Curlin was in a difficult position.  The consummate cool customer under pressure, Curlin waited until an opening appeared to angle wide around Barcola and then made his dash for the finish line with but a tap of the whip from jockey Robby Albarado followed by a handride through the lane.

Einstein, thought to perhaps be a turf specialist, was sent off as the 2nd choice and rallied to nip Barcola right at the wire for 2nd place.  Amazingly, despite being sent off at odds of 1-5, Curlin sat atop a $97.80 trifecta with Einstein and Barcola underneath.

Hats off to Jess Jackson, Steve Asmussen and company for having the guts to run the colt at such a weight disadvantage.  Asking a colt to carry 128  pounds after returning from Dubai is no small challenge.  Curlin, as he has done since the Breeder’s Cup Classic last fall, made it look like he was winning for fun. 

If there’s anyone left out there that doubts this colt’s greatness, I simply don’t know what to say.  In my admittedly short life (compared to some other horseplayers), this is clearly the best horse I’ve had the pleasure of seeing. What challenge could possibly be next?   Jess Jackson and Steve Asmussen have been nominating him for every major stakes race imaginable from here to France and all the way to Japan (and back again).  God knows what kind of weight they’d need to assign him to give anyone else a prayer of a chance. 

With the win in the Stephen Foster, Curlin boosts his all-time winnings to $9,396,800, or just $603,015 away from Cigar’s all-time earnings record.  As of right now, Curlin ranks 3rd all time, just behind Skip Away who currently resides in 2nd place with $9,616,630 in lifetime earnings.  If they can catch the right purse, Curlin’s next run might well be for the all-time lead.  He’s all but assured a place in the hall-of-fame when his racing days are over, and the stud fee he’ll one day command is unimaginable. 

For now, let’s continue to enjoy him while we can.  Horses like this come around maybe once in a lifetime.  He’s that special.  He’s that magnificent.  I’ve believed he was the best since his run in the Arkansas Derby, and every time he steps onto the track from here on out, history is written.  Enjoy him while you can.   With any luck his U.S. debut won’t be his last race in the states this year.  Overseas purses beckon, including a potential run on the turf (going clockwise) in the Arc de Triomphe on October 5, and the Japan Cup in Tokyo on November 30th.

Wherever he goes, and whenever he runs, the next one will be a historic moment that sport needs to hype as much as humanly possible.  You want superstars?  We’ve got one – and when all is said and done he should be firmly entrenched among the list of all-time greats. 





Curlin’s 2008 U.S. debut headlines Saturday Churchill card

14 06 2008

The Saturday racing card at Churchill Downs marks the 2008 U.S. debut of defending Horse of the Year winner Curlin in the Grade 1 Stephen Foster Handicap.  The last time Curlin raced at Churchill downs he was a green 3-year-old that battled through a horrific trip to finish 3rd in the Kentucky Derby.  The son of Smart Strike used that effort, where jockey Robby Albarado said he “became a man” in the stretch, to move forward in what became his coming out party during the Preakness two weeks later.  The rest, as they say, is history as the colt has gone on to prove his dominance as the top U.S. dirt horse, as well as a force to be reckoned with on the international circuit with his resounding 7 length win in the prestigious Dubai World Cup in March.

A very strong undercard features 5 additional stakes races in what features to be an excellent day of thoroughbred racing. Let’s take a look at the stakes races, beginning with the Grade 2 Fleur De Lis Handicap in race 6, and running all the way through the Grade 3 Mint Julep in race 11. No doubt bettors will be focusing their action on these races in the pick 4 and pick 6 wagering. 

Race 6:  The Fleur De Lis Handicap (G2) – 1 1/8 miles.

  • #5 Hystericalady (4/5*)
  • #2 Peach Flambe (3/1)
  • #1 Aspiring (12/1)

#5 Hystericalady headlines the field and for good reason. She’s a grade 1 winner and has battled with the likes of Ginger Punch and Nashoba’s Key.  I think there’s enough speed in here today that she could sit a comfortable race just off the early pace and look to make her move in the stretch – where she should prove the best horse.  It’s going to take the best race of someone else’s life to get past her. #2 Peach Flambe would appear to be a contender based on speed figures alone.  I’m just not sure she’s good enough to seriously threaten Hystericalady.  She did run 2nd to Ginger Punch in the Sunshine Millions Distaff, but she was beaten handily by over 6 lengths. Hystericalady, on the other hand, gave Ginger Punch all she could handle in the Breeder’s Cup Distaff last fall.  #1 Aspiring is a horse I’ve got to use based on name alone, but besides that there’s really not much to like. 

Race 7: The Regret (G3) – 1 1/8 miles (turf)

  • #4 Pure Clan (7/5*)
  • #6 Magical Theater (10/1)
  • #3 Zee Zee (3/1)

#4 Pure Clan is 4 for 7 lifetime, with a pair of respectable losses to the late Eight Belles and another solid effort against Proud Spell last out.  She won’t find anyone of that caliber here today. The pace won’t exactly be ideal, but she should be able to sit a comfortable trip and make her move in the stretch to prevail. #6 Magical Theater exits back to back victories and although she’s only raced at the maiden and conditional allowance levels and steps up into stakes company today, she has beaten some return winners.  The daughter of Smart Strike has every reason to move forward today.  #3 Zee Zee has solid turf form and cannot be totally dismissed here. She’s had trouble classing up in the past, but has the ever useful third start off a layoff angle going for her as well.

Race 8: The Northern Dancer (G3) – 1 1/16 miles

  • #1 Recapturetheglory (3/1)
  • #2 Pyro (7/5*)
  • #6 Visionaire (5/1)

We’ve got plenty of familiar names to those who followed the 3-year-old campaign this year leading up to the 2008 Kentucky Derby.  All 3 of the runners exiting the Derby wound up in my selections today.  #1 Recapturetheglory will be on the lead from the 1 hole and look to wire this field.  There doesn’t appear to be any serious pace pressure here unless #5 My Pal Charlie decides to go after him, which may well happen since ‘Charlie’s best bet to hit the board is to be as forwardly placed as possible early on.  #2 Pyro was my top ranked 3-year-old until Big Brown arrived on the scene.  Since then things have gone wrong, and he must look to prove that the synthetic try in the Blue Grass and the bad start to the Derby warrant drawing lines through them.  If the colt that ran in the Louisiana Derby and the Risen Star shows up – he should be coming late to threaten for the score.  #6 Visionaire was progressing nicely until the same combo of races that Pyro ran into.  I’m thinking he’ll be in a nice stalking position turning for home here and if anyone can get to Recapturetheglory and My Pal Charlie, he should have a good shot.  Obviously I feel that #5 My Pal Charlie was hard to leave off as his name keeps popping up in this analysis.  #7 Texas WIldcatter also warrants consideration underneath.

Race 9:  The Jefferson Cup (G2) – 1 1/8 miles (turf)

  • #4 Tizdejavu (3/1*)
  • #7 Bobby Blue Eyes (6/1)
  • #3 Wicked Style (5/1)

Arguably the most difficult of the stakes races on the card to handicap. #4 Tizdejavu has yet to run a bad race in his career.  He prevailed by a nose at the G3 level last out and has been working beautifully in the interim.  He’s also a Tiznow colt, andI tend to have a fondness for them.  #7 Bobby Blue Eyes absolutely freaked last time out when hitting the grass for the first time to break his maiden by 10 lengths.  The competition gets deeper, and you always have to worry about a bounce off such a performance, but perhaps this one just really is that much better on the grass?  I’ll take my chances at decent odds.  #3 Wicked Style was a G1 winner before having a rough time in the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile.  I’m willing to think he needed that last race on 5/21 after a long layoff and will look for a better effort here.  I think another number you’ve got to consider in the multi-race wagers is #8 Go West Bert.  True, his freak move last out was in an off-the-turf race in the slop, but his form was solid on the grass prior to that.

Race 10: The Stephen Foster Handicap (G1) – 1 1/8 miles

  • #1 Curlin (3/5*)
  • #9 Barcola (20/1)
  • #4 Einstein (5/1)

The feature race of the day – and Curlin’s 2008 U.S. debut.  It’s been a long time since we last saw Curlin thrashing the world’s finest in the World Cup.  Even longer since we saw him romp in the slop at Monmouth in the Breeder’s Cup Classic.  If the horse we all know and love shows up – fahgetaboutit.  If he happens to have some Dubai rust on him, or is a bit too eager off the layoff and gets used up early and tires – then perhaps #9 Barcola has a shot to wire the field in a fashion similar to what Da’ Tara did last weekend (I know, I know – enough with the references to the Belmont). #4 Einstein looks playable to me, but you’ve got to hope he can be something close to what he usually is on grass. #5 Grasshopper could also be in the mix here today, andwill likely find a way into the money – but unless he brings his best I don’t see him hitting the wire in front.  Get ‘em Curlin – win this one and you’re within reach of Cigar’s all-time earnings.

Race 11: The Early Times Mint Julep (G3) – 1 1/16 miles (turf)

  • #3 Dreaming of Anna (1/1*)
  • #8 Kiss With a Twist (15/1)
  • #11 Ciao (6/1)

#1 Dreaming of Anna is the class of the field and has a legitimate shot to take them gate-to-wire in the closer. If she can prevail she’ll boost her lifetime earnings closer to the $2 million mark.  Her workout tab sure looks like she’s on her A-game. #8 Kiss With a Twist may be a surprise to hit the board.  Note a couple of things.  She’s a 4 year old daughter of Lemon Drop Kid and she seems to love the Churchill grass. She could surprise and move forward today. #11 Ciao also does some of her best running at Churchill on the grass and while thrashed by Dreaming of Anna in the Pucker Up (G3), she has matched class with Bit of Whimsy in the Mrs. Revere.  I’d also think of using #6 Street Sounds here as on her best she can hit the board. 

Best of luck to all, and as always be sure to check for late changes/scratches. 

Good luck Curlin – make us proud!

 





Curlin set to return in the Stephen Foster

10 06 2008

Horse racing needs its heroes.  With the debacle of Big Brown in the Belmont Stakes last Saturday, the building anticipation for a potential showdown between a Triple Crown winner and the 2007 Horse of the Year seemingly went out the window.  Instead, racing fans have been left with a head scratching defeat and a renewed appreciation that nothing is a given, no matter how lopsided it may appear on paper.

This Saturday’s running of the Grade 1 Stephen Foster Handicap at Churchill Downs appears no different.  Curlin, for all of his freakish success, will be assigned the daunting challenge of carrying at least 10 pounds more than any of his competitors in the 1 1/8 mile race. 

The list of competitors has grown in recent weeks to potentially include Grasshopper, Einstein, Jonesboro, Student Council and Delightful Kiss, among others.  While Curlin will be carrying 128 pounds against these foes, he’s actually run at a higher weight (132) in his amazing victory in the Dubai World Cup on March 29. 

Trainer Steve Asmussen has been quoted in the press as being concerned about the weight assignment – but has indicated that colt will need to show he can overcome such obstacles to keep marching triumphantly forward. 

Personally, while I’m concerned about the weight assignment as a Curlin fan – I’m looking for the colt to come to the rescue of horse racing and re-establish himself as the sport’s biggest star.  A few weeks ago the prospects for Curlin winning a second consecutive Horse of the Year award seemed bleak when viewed from the shadow of Big Brown’s seemingly assured Triple Crown bid.  Now, with Big Brown’s defeat still fresh in everyone’s mind, what bigger message could Curlin send than to defeat Grade 1 level rivals while running at such a significant disadvantage? 

The Curlin team hasn’t made a bad move since the colt was defeated in the Haskell last summer, and have run off 4 straight victories including the Jockey Club Gold Cup, the Breeder’s Cup Classic, and of course the Dubai World Cup.  He also seems to be training well, rattling off  a 5 furlong workout in 1:02.80 on Monday.

Of the competitors, I find Einstein the most intriguing.  Grasshopper is a horse I’ve thought highly of but it’s been a while since he’s won and he seems to find a way to lose in the stretch when it counts.  Student Council is returning off a big win in the Pimlico Special on Black Eyed Susan day. 

It’s time for Curlin to answer the bell and rise up to face a new round of challengers.  Will racing fans get to see another signature race in the amazing career of a colt that went from unraced maiden to world champion in little over one year?  If so, Curlin will add to his bankroll in his quest to overcome Cigar as the top earning U.S. thoroughbred in history.  The task won’t be easy, and Curlin may well have to earn this one in the stretch as his lighter weight competitors turn for home.  Barring a “Dubai bounce”, I’m looking for Curlin to add another notch to his belt.  That being said, you really can’t fault any bettors looking for an opportunity to beat the favorite after seeing a “lock” go up in smoke last weekend.

 








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