Picking a winner for the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile

22 10 2008

 

Isn’t it a fallacy to call this the “dirt mile?”  Shouldn’t it be the “synthetic mile?”  Or perhaps the “Pro-Ride mile?” Something just feels wrong calling this a “dirt” race when the only dirt in the area will be the familiar black grime that embeds itself under our fingernails after a feverish night of thumbing through the Daily Racing Form – but I digress! 

Is this race as easy to decipher as it appears on paper?  I must confess, after the confusion and uncertainty that abounds in the opening two races, I feel almost like a deer in headlights staring at Well Armed here.  Moreover, it seems all you really need to do is focus on the finish in the Goodwood, which in the irony of ironies this year SHOULD have been a key prep for the Classic and not necessarily the “dirt” mile.  Go figure.

 

The 2008 Goodwood featured Well Armed, Albertus Maximus, and Surf Cat

 

We’ve got three of the top finishers from the Goodwood here – Well Armed (winner), Albertus Maximus (3rd), and Surf Cat (4th).  All we’re missing is Tiago.  Might they run in the exact same order?  It certainly seems possible, if not likely.

I really can’t see this one going to anyone else than Well Armed under the strong handling of Aaron “the rider” Gryder.  I think he stalks and pounces. If I’ve got a fear about him, it’s that he hasn’t exactly done his best riding at the mile distance – but I’m still buying.  And since we’ve got 6 more races to cover and this is a “marathon” of an undertaking in covering each one separately, I’ll just leave it at that and move on.


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