Weds 15th Aug.
Salis. 2.10 TIN HAT is completely exposed and on achievement win wise is actually nothing more than 7-8k pot horse also ultimately it would be a disappointment if either Dirty Rascal or Crantock Bay do not rapidly surpass the selection. I though have big reservations today especially with Crantock Bay I think the race he ran in does not amount to much, the only positive I will give it is the fact that it was Ascot he finished 2nd and he went 1/5 in running to win the race. That actually looks very good when it is laid out in this format, he is a big class dropper so my dismissal of him could very well be foolish, however I will stick to guns. Now we move onto Dirty Rascal he also ran @ Ascot slightly earlier in July, he went 1/20 in running to win that particular race he is also a class dropper. This horse along with the above cannot be discounted and it may be likely I have completely miscalculated this race. When I look @ my selection compared to the other 2 I see a completely exposed horse who actually looks out of his depth against 2 smart prospects. The Brighton race TIN HAT won was an egg and spoon race he was 1/4 in the market he looks outgunned here. However my belief is TIN HAT is battle ready today, I like the run last time out over 6f @ Goodwood an although beaten 4 &1/2 lengths I think it is solid form. I think this horse should be teamed up with something else for a nice Each way double today.
3.40 CHAIN OF DAISIES. Won this race in 2016, it has always previously paid well to follow 3-5 year olds in this race, so @ 6 years old she has to buck a strong trend. I believe today she can pull it off Henry Candy looks to have oin pointed this race, and although she has had a far from ideal prep into the race let us hope he has her here fit for firing. Everyone knows I work off the clock and Stoute always catches me out with his horses as they can have little or no public speed fractions, then they go and tear in and produce a great time in the process, Crystal Hope could easily be just that sort of filly. I will stick to the selection and suggest being brave with an Each way double with the above
